BETA · Q3 2026 · 25 SEATS

Know what moved
before the bid moves.

CausalSignal is a research agent for systematic and discretionary desks. It scans every major financial outlet, grounds new information against corroborating sources, and threads it through a causal knowledge graph of the assets and regimes you trade — so the question “what’s already in the book?” has an answer before the open.

Request beta access →Read the model
2,418
sources scanned
1.4M
live KG nodes
11
languages
NS · /GLOBAL/MACROLIVE
•EVT  •ASSET  ◎ THEMElast upd · 0s ago
02 · CAUSAL MODEL

A knowledge graph that edits itself— and lets you edit it back.

Every news event the agent ingests is grounded against corroborating sources and tied into a directed causal graph of assets, regimes and themes. Edges carry weight, confidence and a decay half-life. Override any of them.

Over time, the graph becomes a desk-specific map of how information actually propagates through the markets you trade.

01

Scan

· 2,418 SOURCES \U00B7 11 LANGUAGES
Continuous ingestion of newswires, exchange filings, central-bank communications, and primary research. The agent prioritizes by desk subscription, namespace, and a learned salience prior.
02

Ground

· MULTI-SOURCE CORROBORATION
Claims are cross-checked against independent sources before the agent commits an edge. Unverifiable claims are quarantined, not discarded \u2014 they remain visible with a confidence below threshold.
03

Infer

· CAUSAL INTROSPECTABLECORE
When an event resolves, the agent propagates the inference through the causal DAG. Every weight, half-life and citation is visible. The graph is the artifact, not a side-effect.
CHAINTYPETNOTELIVE · TAILING
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:32:14corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:32:14w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:32:14+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:32:14+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:32:14−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:31:27corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:31:27w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:31:27−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:31:27+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:31:27−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:30:40corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:30:40w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:30:40+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:30:40+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:30:40+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:29:53corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:29:53w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:29:53crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:29:53CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:29:53−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:29:06corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:29:06w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:29:06+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:29:06+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:29:06BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:28:19corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:28:19w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:28:19−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:28:19EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:28:19+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT09:27:32corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF09:27:32w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST09:27:32AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST09:27:32iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST09:27:32+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT09:26:45corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF09:26:45w=0.84
→ multipleAST09:26:45+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST09:26:45+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST09:26:45lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT09:25:58corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF09:25:58w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST09:25:58+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST09:25:58DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST09:25:58−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT09:25:11corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF09:25:11w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST09:25:11+0.7%
→ propagatedAST09:25:11Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST09:25:11gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT09:24:24corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF09:24:24w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST09:24:24XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST09:24:24TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST09:24:24XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT09:23:37corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:23:37w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST09:23:37+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST09:23:37NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST09:23:37SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:22:50corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:22:50w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:22:50+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:22:50+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:22:50−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:22:03corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:22:03w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:22:03−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:22:03+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:22:03−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:21:16corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:21:16w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:21:16+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:21:16+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:21:16+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:20:29corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:20:29w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:20:29crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:20:29CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:20:29−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:19:42corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:19:42w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:19:42+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:19:42+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:19:42BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:18:55corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:18:55w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:18:55−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:18:55EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:18:55+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT09:18:08corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF09:18:08w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST09:18:08AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST09:18:08iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST09:18:08+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT09:17:21corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF09:17:21w=0.84
→ multipleAST09:17:21+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST09:17:21+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST09:17:21lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT09:16:34corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF09:16:34w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST09:16:34+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST09:16:34DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST09:16:34−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT09:15:47corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF09:15:47w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST09:15:47+0.7%
→ propagatedAST09:15:47Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST09:15:47gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT09:15:00corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF09:15:00w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST09:15:00XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST09:15:00TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST09:15:00XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT09:14:13corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:14:13w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST09:14:13+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST09:14:13NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST09:14:13SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:13:26corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:13:26w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:13:26+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:13:26+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:13:26−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:12:39corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:12:39w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:12:39−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:12:39+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:12:39−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:11:52corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:11:52w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:11:52+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:11:52+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:11:52+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:11:05corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:11:05w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:11:05crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:11:05CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:11:05−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:10:18corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:10:18w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:10:18+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:10:18+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:10:18BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:09:31corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:09:31w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:09:31−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:09:31EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:09:31+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT09:08:44corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF09:08:44w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST09:08:44AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST09:08:44iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST09:08:44+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT09:07:57corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF09:07:57w=0.84
→ multipleAST09:07:57+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST09:07:57+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST09:07:57lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT09:07:10corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF09:07:10w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST09:07:10+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST09:07:10DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST09:07:10−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT09:06:23corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF09:06:23w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST09:06:23+0.7%
→ propagatedAST09:06:23Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST09:06:23gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT09:05:36corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF09:05:36w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST09:05:36XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST09:05:36TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST09:05:36XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT09:04:49corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:04:49w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST09:04:49+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST09:04:49NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST09:04:49SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:04:02corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:04:02w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:04:02+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:04:02+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:04:02−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:03:15corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:03:15w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:03:15−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:03:15+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:03:15−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:02:28corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:02:28w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:02:28+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:02:28+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:02:28+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:01:41corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:01:41w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:01:41crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:01:41CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:01:41−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:00:54corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:00:54w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:00:54+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:00:54+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:00:54BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:00:07corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:00:07w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:00:07−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:00:07EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:00:07+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT08:59:20corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF08:59:20w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST08:59:20AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST08:59:20iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST08:59:20+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT08:58:33corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF08:58:33w=0.84
→ multipleAST08:58:33+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST08:58:33+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST08:58:33lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT08:57:46corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF08:57:46w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST08:57:46+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST08:57:46DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST08:57:46−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT08:56:59corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF08:56:59w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST08:56:59+0.7%
→ propagatedAST08:56:59Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST08:56:59gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT08:56:12corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF08:56:12w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST08:56:12XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST08:56:12TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST08:56:12XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT08:55:25corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF08:55:25w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST08:55:25+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST08:55:25NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST08:55:25SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT08:54:38corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF08:54:38w=0.60
→ real ratesAST08:54:38+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST08:54:38+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST08:54:38−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT08:53:51corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF08:53:51w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST08:53:51−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST08:53:51+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST08:53:51−0.21% TOPIX
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:32:14corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:32:14w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:32:14+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:32:14+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:32:14−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:31:27corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:31:27w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:31:27−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:31:27+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:31:27−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:30:40corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:30:40w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:30:40+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:30:40+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:30:40+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:29:53corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:29:53w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:29:53crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:29:53CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:29:53−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:29:06corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:29:06w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:29:06+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:29:06+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:29:06BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:28:19corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:28:19w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:28:19−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:28:19EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:28:19+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT09:27:32corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF09:27:32w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST09:27:32AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST09:27:32iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST09:27:32+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT09:26:45corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF09:26:45w=0.84
→ multipleAST09:26:45+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST09:26:45+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST09:26:45lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT09:25:58corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF09:25:58w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST09:25:58+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST09:25:58DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST09:25:58−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT09:25:11corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF09:25:11w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST09:25:11+0.7%
→ propagatedAST09:25:11Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST09:25:11gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT09:24:24corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF09:24:24w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST09:24:24XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST09:24:24TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST09:24:24XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT09:23:37corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:23:37w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST09:23:37+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST09:23:37NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST09:23:37SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:22:50corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:22:50w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:22:50+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:22:50+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:22:50−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:22:03corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:22:03w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:22:03−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:22:03+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:22:03−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:21:16corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:21:16w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:21:16+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:21:16+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:21:16+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:20:29corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:20:29w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:20:29crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:20:29CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:20:29−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:19:42corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:19:42w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:19:42+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:19:42+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:19:42BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:18:55corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:18:55w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:18:55−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:18:55EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:18:55+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT09:18:08corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF09:18:08w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST09:18:08AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST09:18:08iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST09:18:08+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT09:17:21corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF09:17:21w=0.84
→ multipleAST09:17:21+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST09:17:21+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST09:17:21lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT09:16:34corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF09:16:34w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST09:16:34+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST09:16:34DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST09:16:34−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT09:15:47corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF09:15:47w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST09:15:47+0.7%
→ propagatedAST09:15:47Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST09:15:47gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT09:15:00corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF09:15:00w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST09:15:00XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST09:15:00TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST09:15:00XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT09:14:13corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:14:13w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST09:14:13+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST09:14:13NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST09:14:13SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:13:26corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:13:26w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:13:26+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:13:26+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:13:26−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:12:39corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:12:39w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:12:39−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:12:39+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:12:39−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:11:52corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:11:52w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:11:52+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:11:52+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:11:52+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:11:05corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:11:05w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:11:05crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:11:05CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:11:05−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:10:18corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:10:18w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:10:18+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:10:18+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:10:18BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:09:31corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:09:31w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:09:31−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:09:31EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:09:31+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT09:08:44corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF09:08:44w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST09:08:44AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST09:08:44iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST09:08:44+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT09:07:57corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF09:07:57w=0.84
→ multipleAST09:07:57+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST09:07:57+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST09:07:57lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT09:07:10corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF09:07:10w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST09:07:10+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST09:07:10DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST09:07:10−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT09:06:23corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF09:06:23w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST09:06:23+0.7%
→ propagatedAST09:06:23Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST09:06:23gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT09:05:36corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF09:05:36w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST09:05:36XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST09:05:36TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST09:05:36XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT09:04:49corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:04:49w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST09:04:49+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST09:04:49NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST09:04:49SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT09:04:02corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF09:04:02w=0.60
→ real ratesAST09:04:02+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST09:04:02+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST09:04:02−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT09:03:15corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF09:03:15w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST09:03:15−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST09:03:15+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST09:03:15−0.21% TOPIX
NFP · +271kEVT09:02:28corroborated · 4 src
→ wage growth +0.4%INF09:02:28w=0.76
→ rate pathAST09:02:28+8bp 2Y
→ propagatedAST09:02:28+0.22 DXY
→ propagatedAST09:02:28+0.18% IWM
OPEC+ · cut extEVT09:01:41corroborated · 4 src
→ crude tightnessINF09:01:41w=0.84
→ WTI +2.1%AST09:01:41crack +0.8
→ propagatedAST09:01:41CPI nowcast ↑
→ propagatedAST09:01:41−0.12% XLK
NVDA · capex upEVT09:00:54corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF09:00:54w=0.60
→ semi sectorAST09:00:54+1.4% SOX
→ propagatedAST09:00:54+0.08% SPX
→ propagatedAST09:00:54BoJ → JPY ↑
ECB · LagardeEVT09:00:07corroborated · 4 src
→ cut path pricedINF09:00:07w=0.68
→ Bund 10YAST09:00:07−6bp
→ propagatedAST09:00:07EUR −0.42
→ propagatedAST09:00:07+0.18% DAX
China · PMI 50.8EVT08:59:20corroborated · 4 src
→ reflation impulseINF08:59:20w=0.76
→ copper +1.8AST08:59:20AUD +0.31
→ propagatedAST08:59:20iron-ore +2.1%
→ propagatedAST08:59:20+0.24% HSI
TSLA · Q deliveriesEVT08:58:33corroborated · 4 src
→ demand re-rateINF08:58:33w=0.84
→ multipleAST08:58:33+3.2% TSLA
→ propagatedAST08:58:33+0.09% XLY
→ propagatedAST08:58:33lithium spot ↑
FOMC · minutesEVT08:57:46corroborated · 4 src
→ hawkish tiltINF08:57:46w=0.60
→ OIS curveAST08:57:46+5bp terminal
→ propagatedAST08:57:46DXY +0.22
→ propagatedAST08:57:46−0.31% SPX
SNB · interveneEVT08:56:59corroborated · 4 src
→ CHF cap defendedINF08:56:59w=0.68
→ EURCHFAST08:56:59+0.7%
→ propagatedAST08:56:59Bund −2bp
→ propagatedAST08:56:59gold +0.4%
Aramco · spareEVT08:56:12corroborated · 4 src
→ OPEC slackINF08:56:12w=0.76
→ WTI −1.2%AST08:56:12XOM −0.8%
→ propagatedAST08:56:12TIPS bkv −3bp
→ propagatedAST08:56:12XLE −0.4%
MSFT · azure beatEVT08:55:25corroborated · 4 src
→ AI capex theme +INF08:55:25w=0.84
→ cloud cohortAST08:55:25+2.1% MSFT
→ propagatedAST08:55:25NVDA +1.6%
→ propagatedAST08:55:25SOXX +0.8%
CPI · 3.4%EVT08:54:38corroborated · 4 src
→ r* re-anchor +6bpINF08:54:38w=0.60
→ real ratesAST08:54:38+12bp · σ=2.1
→ propagatedAST08:54:38+0.34 · ρ=0.71
→ propagatedAST08:54:38−0.42% · pe ↓
BoJ · YCC tweakEVT08:53:51corroborated · 4 src
→ JGB curve steepensINF08:53:51w=0.68
→ JPY carryAST08:53:51−0.41σ
→ propagatedAST08:53:51+12bp 10Y
→ propagatedAST08:53:51−0.21% TOPIX
04

Deliver

· WEBHOOK \U00B7 FIX \U00B7 SLACK \U00B7 REST
Push to your OMS, your desk channel, or your Bloomberg msg. Subscribe at any node \u2014 receive only the edges that pass your priors.
03 · LIVE GRAPH

15 nodes here.
1.4 million in production.

The graph below is a slice of /global/macro rendered in real time. Hover a node to read its edges; pulses are inferences in flight. Your desk gets a private namespace pinned to the priors you trade.
NS · /GLOBAL/MACRO · LIVE · 21:57:51 NYNODES · 1,412,309EDGES · 8,902,418EVT/MIN · 184
04 · COVERAGE

One agent. Every desk.

EVT/WK PER DESK · ROLLING 28D
01
Equities
SINGLE-NAME · SECTORS
├SUPPLIER GUIDE
├GROSS MARGIN
└MULTIPLE
EXAMPLE ▸
Supplier guides cut → OEM gross-margin range tightens → semi multiples compress.
EVT/WK4,128
02
FX
G10 · EM
├CB COMMS
├RATE DIFF
└CARRY
EXAMPLE ▸
BoJ governor hints at YCC tweak → JGB 10Y → JPY carry unwind cascade.
EVT/WK2,201
03
Rates · Macro
CURVES · SOVEREIGN
├DATA SURPRISE
├EXPECTATIONS
└TERM PREMIUM
EXAMPLE ▸
CPI prints hot → terminal-rate path re-anchors → 2s10s steepens.
EVT/WK1,914
04
Commodities
ENERGY · METALS · AGS
├SUPPLY SHOCK
├STORAGE
└CROSS-ASSET
EXAMPLE ▸
OPEC+ extends voluntary cut → 6m-forward crack spreads → inflation re-prices.
EVT/WK1,640